The Dow Theory is a financial framework modeled on the ideas of Charles Dow. Dow founded the Wall Street Journal and helped create the first US stock indices, known as the Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJTA) and Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA).
Though the Dow Theory was never formalized by Dow himself, it can be seen as an aggregation of the market principles presented in his writings. Here are some of the key takeaways:
Everything is priced in — Dow was a proponent of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH), the idea that markets reflect all of the available information on the price of their assets.
Market trends — Dow is often credited with the very notion of market trends as we know them today, distinguishing between primary, secondary, and tertiary trends.
The phases of a primary trend — in primary trends, Dow identifies three phases: accumulation, public participation, and excess & distribution.
Cross-index correlation — Dow believed that a trend in one index couldn’t be confirmed unless it was observable in another index.
The importance of volume — a trend must also be confirmed by high trading volume.
Trends are valid until reversal — if a trend is confirmed, it continues until a definite reversal occurs.
It’s worth remembering that this isn’t an exact science — it’s a theory, and it might not hold true. Still, it’s a theory that remains hugely influential, and many traders and investors consider it an integral part of their methodology.
For more, check out An Introduction to The Dow Theory — Kolin DeShazo
What is the Elliott Wave Theory?
Elliott Wave Theory (EWT) is a principle positing that market movements follow the psychology of market participants. While it’s used in many technical analysis strategies, it isn’t an indicator or specific trading technique. Rather, it’s a way to analyze the market structure.
The Elliott Wave pattern can typically be identified in a series of eight waves, each of which is either a Motive Wave or a Corrective Wave. You would have five Motive Waves that follow the general trend, and three Corrective Waves that move against it.
An Elliot Wave Cycle, with Motive Waves (blue) and Corrective Waves (yellow).
The patterns also have a fractal property, meaning that you could zoom into a single wave to see another Elliot Wave pattern. Alternatively, you could zoom out to find that the pattern you’ve been examining is also a single wave of a bigger Elliot Wave cycle.
Elliott Wave Theory is met with mixed reviews. Some argue that the methodology is too subjective because traders can identify waves in various ways without violating the rules. Like the Dow Theory, the Elliott Wave Theory isn’t foolproof, so it should not be viewed as an exact science. That said, many traders have had great success by combining EWT with other technical analysis tools.
Check out An Introduction to the Elliott Wave Theory by Altus Crypto for more information on the topic.
What is the Wyckoff Method?
The Wyckoff Method is an extensive trading and investing strategy that was developed by Charles Wyckoff in the 1930s. His work is widely regarded as a cornerstone of modern technical analysis techniques across numerous financial markets.
Wyckoff proposed three fundamental laws — the law of supply and demand, the Law of Cause and Effect, and the Law of Effort vs. Result. He also formulated the Composite Man theory, which has significant overlap with Charles Dow’s breakdown of primary trends. His work in this area is particularly valuable to cryptocurrency traders.
On the practical side of things, the Wyckoff Method itself is a five-step approach to trading. It can be broken down as follows:
Determine the trend: what’s it like now, and where is it headed?
Identify strong assets: are they moving with the market or in the opposite direction?
Find assets with sufficient Cause: is there enough reason to enter the position? Do the risks make the potential reward worth it?
Assess the likelihood of the movement: do things like Wyckoff’s Buying and Selling Tests point to a possible movement? What do the price and volume suggest? Is this asset ready to move?
Time your entry: how are the assets looking in relation to the general market? When is the best time to enter a position?
The Wyckoff Method was introduced almost a century ago, but it remains highly relevant to this day. The scope of Wyckoff’s research was vast, and therefore the above should only be seen as a very condensed overview. It’s recommended that you explore his work in more depth, as it provides indispensable technical analysis knowledge. Start with The Wyckoff Method Explained.
What is buy and hold?
The “buy and hold” strategy, perhaps unsurprisingly, involves buying and holding an asset. It’s a long-term passive play where investors purchase the asset and then leave it alone, regardless of market conditions. A good example of this in the crypto space is HODLing, which typically refers to investors that prefer to buy and hold for years instead of actively trading.
This can be an advantageous approach for those that prefer “hands-off” investing as they don’t need to worry about short-term fluctuations or capital gains taxes. On the other hand, it requires patience on the investor’s part and assumes that the asset won’t end up totally worthless.
If you’d like to read about an easy way to apply this strategy to Bitcoin, check out Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) Explained by Kolin Lukas
What is index investing?
Index investing could be regarded as a form of “buy and hold.” As the name implies, the investor seeks to profit from the movement of assets within a specific index. They could do so by purchasing the assets on their own, or by investing in an index fund.
Again, this is a passive strategy. Individuals can also benefit from diversification across multiple assets, without the stress of active trading.
What is paper trading?
Paper trading could be any kind of strategy — but the trader is only pretending to buy and sell assets. This is something you might consider as a beginner (or even as an experienced trader) to test your skills without putting your money at stake.
You may think, for instance, that you’ve discovered a good strategy for timing Bitcoin dips, and want to try profiting from those drops before they occur. But before you risk all of your funds, you might opt to paper trade. This can be as simple as writing down the price at the time you “open” your short, and again when you close it. You could equally use some kind of simulator that mimics popular trading interfaces.
The main benefit of paper trading is that you can test out strategies without losing your money if things go wrong. You can get an idea of how your moves would have performed with zero risk. Of course, you need to be aware that paper trading only gives you a limited understanding of a real environment. It’s hard to replicate the real emotions you experience when your money is involved. Paper trading without a real-life simulator may also give you a false sense of associated costs and fees, unless you factor them in for specific platforms.
Binance offers a couple of options for paper trading. For instance, the Binance Futures Testnet provides a full-fledged interface. If you’re building trading bots or programs yourself, then the spot exchange testnet can be accessed via API.
Chapter 4 — Technical Analysis Basics
- What is a long position?
- What is shorting?
- What is the order book?
- What is the order book depth?
- What is a market order?
- What is slippage in trading?
- What is a limit order?
- What is a stop-loss order?
- What are makers and takers?
- What is the bid-ask spread?
- What is a candlestick chart?
- What is a candlestick chart pattern?
- What is a trend line?
- What are support and resistance?
- What is a long position?
A long position (or simply long) means buying an asset with the expectation that its value will rise. Long positions are often used in the context of derivatives products or Forex, but they apply to basically any asset class or market type. Buying an asset on the spot market in the hopes that its price will increase also constitutes a long position.
Going long on a financial product is the most common way of investing, especially for those just starting out. Long-term trading strategies like buy and hold are based on the assumption that the underlying asset will increase in value. In this sense, buy and hold is simply going long for an extended period of time.
However, being long doesn’t necessarily mean that the trader expects to gain from an upward movement in price. Take leveraged tokens, for example. BTCDOWN is inversely correlated to the price of Bitcoin. If the price of Bitcoin goes up, the price of BTCDOWN goes down. If the price of Bitcoin goes down, the price of BTCDOWN goes up. In this sense, entering a long position in BTCDOWN equals a downward movement in the price of Bitcoin.
What is shorting?
A short position (or short) means selling an asset with the intention of rebuying it later at a lower price. Shorting is closely related to margin trading, as it may happen with borrowed assets. However, it’s also widely used in the derivatives market, and can be done with a simple spot position. So, how does shorting work?
When it comes to shorting on the spot markets, it’s quite simple. Let’s say you already have Bitcoin and you expect the price to go down. You sell your BTC for USD, as you plan to rebuy it later at a lower price. In this case, you’re essentially entering a short position on Bitcoin since you’re selling high to rebuy lower. Easy enough. But what about shorting with borrowed funds? Let’s see how that works.
You borrow an asset that you think will decrease in value — for example, a stock or a cryptocurrency. You immediately sell it. If the trade goes your way and the asset price decreases, you buy back the same amount of the asset that you’ve borrowed. You repay the assets that you’ve borrowed (along with interest) and profit from the difference between the price you initially sold and the price you rebought.
So, what does shorting Bitcoin look like with borrowed funds? Let’s look at an example. We put up the required collateral to borrow 1 BTC, then immediately sell it for $10,000. Now we’ve got $10,000. Let’s say the price goes down to $8,000. We buy 1 BTC and repay our debt of 1 BTC along with interest. Since we initially sold Bitcoin for $10,000 and now rebought at $8,000, our profit is $2,000 (minus the interest payment and trading fees).
What is the order book?
The order book is a collection of the currently open orders for an asset, organized by price. When you post an order that isn’t filled immediately, it gets added to the order book. It will sit there until it gets filled by another order or canceled.
Order books will differ with each platform, but generally, they’ll contain roughly the same information. You’ll see the number of orders at specific price levels.
When it comes to crypto exchanges and online trading, orders in the order book are matched by a system called the matching engine. This system is what ensures that trades are executed — you could think of it as the brain of the exchange. This system, along with the order book, is core to the concept of electronic exchange.
What is the order book depth?
The order book depth (or market depth) refers to a visualization of the currently open orders in the order book. It usually puts buy orders on one side, and sell orders on the other and displays them cumulatively on a chart.
Order book depth of the BTC/USDT market pair on Binance.
In more general terms, the depth of the order book may also refer to the amount of liquidity that the order book can absorb. The “deeper” the market is, the more liquidity there is in the order book. In this sense, a market with more liquidity can absorb larger orders without a considerable effect on the price. However, if the market is illiquid, large orders may have a significant impact on the price.
What is a market order?
A market order is an order to buy or sell at the best currently available market price. It’s basically the fastest way to get in or out of a market.
When you’re setting a market order, you’re basically saying: “I’d like to execute this order right now at the best price I can get.”
Your market order will keep filling orders from the order book until the entire order is fully filled. This is why large traders (or whales) can have a significant impact on the price when they use market orders. A large market order can effectively siphon liquidity from the order book. How so? Let’s go through it when discussing slippage.
Eager to learn more? Check out What is a Market Order? By Kolin DeShazo
What is slippage in trading?
There is something you need to be aware of when it comes to market orders — slippage. When we say that market orders fill at the best available price, that means that they keep filling orders from the order book until the entire order is executed.
However, what if there isn’t enough liquidity around the desired price to fill a large market order? There could be a big difference between the price that you expect your order to fill and the price that it fills at. This difference is called slippage.
Let’s say you’d like to open a long position worth 10 BTC in an altcoin. However, this altcoin has a relatively small market cap and is being traded on a low-liquidity market. If you use a market order, it will keep filling orders from the order book until the entire 10 BTC order is filled. On a liquid market, you would be able to fill your 10 BTC order without impacting the price significantly. But, in this case, the lack of liquidity means that there may not be enough sell orders in the order book for the current price range.
So, by the time the entire 10 BTC order is filled, you may find out that the average price paid was much higher than expected. In other words, the lack of sell orders caused your market order to move up the order book, matching orders that were significantly more expensive than the initial price.
Be aware of slippage when trading altcoins, as some trading pairs may not have enough liquidity to fill your market orders.
What is a limit order?
A limit order is an order to buy or sell an asset at a specific price or better. This price is called the limit price. Limit buy orders will execute at the limit price or lower, while limit sell orders will execute at the limit price or higher.
When you’re setting a limit order, you’re basically saying: “I’d like to execute this order at this specific price or better, but never worse.”
Using a limit order allows you to have more control over your entry or exit for a given market. In fact, it guarantees that your order will never fill at a worse price than your desired price. However, that also comes with a downside. The market may never reach your price, leaving your order unfilled. In many cases, this can mean losing out on a potential trade opportunity.
Deciding when to use a limit order or market order can vary with each trader. Some traders may use only one or the other, while other traders will use both — depending on the circumstances. The important thing is to understand how they work so you can decide for yourself.
Eager to learn more? Check out What is a Limit Order? By Altus Crypto
What is a stop-loss order?
Now that we know what market and limit orders are, let’s talk about stop-loss orders. A stop-loss order is a type of limit or market order that’s only activated when a certain price is reached. This price is called the stop price.
The purpose of a stop-loss order is mainly to limit losses. Every trade needs to have an invalidation point, which is a price level that you should define in advance. This is the level where you say that your initial idea was wrong, meaning that you should exit the market to prevent further losses. So, the invalidation point is where you would typically put your stop-loss order.
How does a stop-loss order work? As we’ve mentioned, the stop-loss can be both a limit or a market order. This is why these variants may also be referred to as stop-limit and stop-market orders. The key thing to understand is that the stop-loss only activates when a certain price is reached (the stop price). When the stop price is reached, it activates either a market or a limit order. You basically set the stop price as the trigger for your market or limit order.
However, there is one thing you should keep in mind. We know that limit orders only fill at the limit price or better, but never worse. If you’re using a stop-limit order as your stop-loss and the market crashes violently, it may instantly move away from your limit price, leaving your order unfilled. In other words, the stop price would trigger your stop-limit order, but the limit order would remain unfilled due to the sharp price drop. This is why stop-market orders are considered safer than stop-limit orders. They ensure that even under extreme market conditions, you’ll be guaranteed to exit the market once your invalidation point is reached.
What are makers and takers?
You become a maker when you place an order that doesn’t immediately get filled but gets added to the order book. Since your order is adding liquidity to the order book, you’re a “maker” of liquidity.
Limit orders will typically execute as maker orders, but not in all cases. For example, let’s say you place a limit buy order with a limit price that’s considerably higher than the current market price. Since you’re saying your order can execute at the limit price or better, your order will execute against the market price (as it’s lower than your limit price).
You become a taker when you place an order that gets immediately filled. Your order doesn’t get added to the order book, but is immediately matched with an existing order in the order book. Since you’re taking liquidity from the order book, you’re a taker. Market orders will always be taker orders, as you’re executing your order at the best currently available market price.
Some exchanges adopt a multi-tier fee model to incentivize traders to provide liquidity. After all, it’s in their interest to attract high volume traders to their exchange — liquidity attracts more liquidity. In such systems, makers tend to pay lower fees than takers, since they’re the ones adding liquidity to the exchange. In some cases, they may even offer fee rebates to makers.
What is the bid-ask spread?
The bid-ask spread is the difference between the highest buy order (bid) and the lowest sell order (ask) for a given market. It’s essentially the gap between the highest price where a seller is willing to sell and the lowest price where a buyer is willing to buy.
The bid-ask spread is a way to measure a market’s liquidity. The smaller the bid-ask spread is, the more liquid the market is. The bid-ask spread can also be considered as a measure of supply and demand for a given asset. In this sense, the supply is represented by the ask side while the demand by the bid side.
When you’re placing a market buy order, it will fill at the lowest available ask price. Conversely, when you place a market sell order, it will fill at the highest available bid.
What is a candlestick chart?
A candlestick chart is a graphical representation of the price of an asset for a given timeframe. It’s made up of candlesticks, each representing the same amount of time. For example, a 1-hour chart shows candlesticks that each represent a period of one hour. A 1-day chart shows candlesticks that each represent a period of one day, and so on.
Daily chart of Bitcoin. Each candlestick represents one day of trading.
A candlestick is made up of four data points: the Open, High, Low, and Close (also referred to as the OHLC values). The Open and Close are the first and last recorded price for the given timeframe, while the Low and High are the lowest and highest recorded price, respectively.
Candlestick charts are one of the most important tools for analyzing financial data. Candlesticks date back to the 17th century Japan but have been refined in the early 20th century by trading pioneers such as Charles Dow.
Candlestick chart analysis is one of the most common ways to look at the Bitcoin market using technical analysis. Would you like to learn how to read candlestick charts? Check out A Beginner’s Guide to Candlestick Charts by Altus Crypto
What is a candlestick chart pattern?
Technical analysis is largely based on the assumption that previous price movements may indicate future price action. So, how can candlesticks be useful in this context? The idea is to identify candlestick chart patterns and create trade ideas based on them.
Candlestick charts help traders analyze market structure and determine whether we’re in a bullish or bearish market environment. They may also be used to identify areas of interest on a chart, like support or resistance levels or potential points of reversal. These are the places on the chart that usually have increased trading activity.
Candlestick patterns are also a great way to manage risk, as they can present trade setups that are defined and exact. How so? Well, candlestick patterns can define clear price targets and invalidation points. This allows traders to come up with very precise and controlled trade setups. As such, candlestick patterns are widely used by Forex and cryptocurrency traders alike.
Some of the most common candlestick patterns include flags, triangles, wedges, hammers, stars, and Doji formations. If you’d like to learn how to read them, check out 12 Popular Candlestick Patterns Used in Technical Analysis and A Beginner’s Guide to Classical Chart Patterns.
What is a trend line?
Trend lines are a widely used tool by both traders and technical analysts. They are lines that connect certain data points on a chart. Typically, this data is the price, but not in all cases. Some traders may also draw trend lines on technical indicators and oscillators.
The main idea behind drawing trend lines is to visualize certain aspects of the price action. This way, traders can identify the overall trend and market structure.
The price of Bitcoin touching a trend line multiple times, indicating an uptrend.
Some traders may only use trend lines to get a better understanding of the market structure. Others may use them to create actionable trade ideas based on how the trend lines interact with the price.
Trend lines can be applied to a chart showing virtually any time frame. However, as with any other market analysis tool, trend lines on higher time frames tend to be more reliable than trend lines on lower time frames.
Another aspect to consider here is the strength of a trend line. The conventional definition of a trend line defines that it has to touch the price at least two or three times to become valid. Typically, the more times the price has touched (tested) a trend line, the more reliable it may be considered.
What are support and resistance?
Support and resistance are some of the most basic concepts related to trading and technical analysis.
Support means a level where the price finds a “floor.” In other words, a support level is an area of significant demand, where buyers step in and push the price up.
Resistance means a level where the price finds a “ceiling.” A resistance level is an area of significant supply, where sellers step in and push the price down.
Support level (red) is tested and broken, turning into resistance.
Now you know that support and resistance are levels of increased demand and supply, respectively. However, many other factors can be at play when thinking about support and resistance.
Technical indicators, such as trend lines, moving averages, Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku Clouds, and Fibonacci Retracement can also suggest potential support and resistance levels. In fact, even aspects of human psychology are used. This is why traders and investors may incorporate support and resistance very differently in their individual trading strategy.
Would you like to know how to draw support and resistance levels on a chart? Check out The Basics of Support and Resistance Explained.
Chapter 5 — Technical Analysis Indicators
- What is a technical analysis indicator?
- Leading vs. lagging indicators
- What is a momentum indicator?
- What is the trading volume?
- What is the Relative Strength Index (RSI)?
- What is a Moving Average (MA)?
- What is the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)?
- What is the Fibonacci Retracement tool?
- What is the Stochastic RSI (StochRSI)?
- What are Bollinger Bands (BB)?
- What is the Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP)?
- What is the Parabolic SAR?
- What is the Ichimoku Cloud?
- What is a technical analysis indicator?
Technical indicators calculate metrics related to a financial instrument. This calculation can be based on price, volume, on-chain data, open interest, social metrics, or even another indicator.
As we’ve discussed earlier, technical analysts base their methods on the assumption that historical price patterns may dictate future price movements. As such, traders who use technical analysis may use an array of technical indicators to identify potential entry and exit points on a chart.
Technical indicators may be categorized by multiple methods. This can include whether they’re pointing towards future trends (leading indicators), confirming a pattern that’s already underway (lagging indicators), or clarify real-time events (coincident indicators).
Some other categorization may concern itself with how these indicators present the information. In this sense, there are overlay indicators that overlay data over price, and there are oscillators that oscillate between a minimum and a maximum value.
There are also types of indicators that aim to measure a specific aspect of the market, such as momentum indicators. As the name would suggest, they aim to measure and display market momentum.
So, which is the best technical analysis indicator out there? There isn’t a simple answer to this question. Traders may use many different types of technical indicators, and their choice is largely based on their individual trading strategy. However, to be able to make that choice, they needed to learn about them first — and that’s what we’re going to do in this chapter.
Leading vs. lagging indicators
As we’ve discussed, different indicators will have distinct qualities and should be used for specific purposes. Leading indicators point towards future events. Lagging indicators are used to confirm something that has already happened. So, when should you use them?
Leading indicators are typically useful for short- and mid-term analysis. They are used when analysts anticipate a trend and are looking for statistical tools to back up their hypothesis. Especially when it comes to economics, leading indicators can be particularly useful to predict periods of recession.
When it comes to trading and technical analysis, leading indicators can also be used for their predictive qualities. However, no special indicator can predict the future, so these forecasts should always be taken with a grain of salt.
Lagging indicators are used to confirm events and trends that had already happened, or are already underway. This may seem redundant, but it can be very useful. Lagging indicators can bring certain aspects of the market to the spotlight that otherwise would remain hidden. As such, lagging indicators are typically applied to longer-term chart analysis.
What is a momentum indicator?
Momentum indicators aim to measure and show market momentum. What is market momentum? In simple terms, it’s the measure of the speed of price changes. Momentum indicators aim to measure the rate at which prices rise or fall. As such, they’re typically used for short-term analysis by traders who are looking to profit from bursts of high volatility.
The goal of a momentum trader is to enter trades when momentum is high, and exit when market momentum starts to fade. Typically, if volatility is low, the price tends to squeeze into a small range. As the tension builds up, the price often makes a big impulse move, eventually breaking out of the range. This is when momentum traders thrive.
After the move has concluded and the traders have exited their position, they move on to another asset with high momentum and try to repeat the same game plan. As such, momentum indicators are widely used by day traders, scalpers, and short-term traders who are looking for quick trading opportunities.
What is the trading volume?
The trading volume may be considered the quintessential indicator. It shows the number of individual units traded for an asset in a given time. It basically shows how much of that asset changed hands during the measured time.
Some consider the trading volume to be the most important technical indicator out there. “Volume precedes price” is a famous saying in the trading world. It suggests that large trading volume can be a leading indicator before a big price move (regardless of the direction).
By using volume in trading, traders can measure the strength of the underlying trend. If high volatility is accompanied by high trading volume, that may be considered a validation of the move. This makes sense because high trading activity should equal a significant volume since many traders and investors are active at that particular price level. However, if volatility isn’t accompanied by high volume, the underlying trend may be considered weak.
Price levels with historically high volume may also give a good potential entry or exit point for traders. Since history tends to repeat itself, these levels may be where increased trading activity is more likely to happen. Ideally, support and resistance levels should also be accompanied by an uptick in volume, confirming the strength of the level.
What is the Relative Strength Index (RSI)?
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is an indicator that illustrates whether an asset is overbought or oversold. It is a momentum oscillator that shows the rate at which price changes happen. This oscillator varies between 0 and 100, and the data is usually displayed on a line chart.
The RSI indicator applied to a Bitcoin chart.
What’s the idea behind measuring market momentum? Well, if the momentum is increasing while the price is going up, the uptrend may be considered strong. Conversely, if momentum is diminishing in an uptrend, the uptrend may be considered weak. In this case, a reversal may be coming.
Let’s see how the traditional interpretation of the RSI works. When the RSI value is under 30, the asset may be considered oversold. In contrast, it may be considered overbought when it’s above 70.
Still, RSI readings should be taken with a degree of skepticism. The RSI can reach extreme values during extraordinary market conditions — and even then, the market trend may still continue for a while.
The RSI is one of the easiest technical indicators to understand, which makes it one of the best for beginner traders. If you’d like to read more about it, check out What is the RSI Indicator?.
What is a Moving Average (MA)?
Moving averages smooth out price action and make it easier to spot market trends. As they’re based on previous price data, they lack predictive qualities. As such, moving averages are considered lagging indicators.
Moving averages have various types — the two most common one is the simple moving average (SMA or MA) and the exponential moving average (EMA). What’s the difference between them?
The simple moving average is calculated by taking price data from the previous n periods and producing an average. For example, the 10-day SMA takes the average price of the last 10 days and plots the results on a graph.
200-week moving average based on the price of Bitcoin.
The exponential moving average is a bit trickier. It uses a different formula that puts a bigger emphasis on more recent price data. As a result, the EMA reacts more quickly to recent events in price action, while the SMA may take more time to catch up.
As we’ve mentioned, moving averages are lagging indicators. The longer the period they plot, the greater the lag. As such, a 200-day moving average will react slower to unfolding price action than a 100-day moving average.
Moving averages can help you easily identify market trends. If you’d like to read more about them, check out Moving Averages Explained.
What is the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)?
The MACD is an oscillator that uses two moving averages to show the momentum of a market. As it tracks price action that has already occurred, it’s a lagging indicator.
The MACD is made up of two lines — the MACD line and the signal line. How do you calculate them? Well, you get the MACD line by subtracting the 26 EMA from the 12 EMA. Simple enough. Then, you plot this over the MACD line’s 9 EMA — the signal line. In addition, many charting tools will also show a histogram that illustrates the distance between the MACD line and the signal line.
The MACD indicator applied to a Bitcoin chart.
Traders may use the MACD by observing the relationship between the MACD line and the signal line. A crossover between the two lines is usually a notable event when it comes to the MACD. If the MACD line crosses above the signal line, that may be interpreted as a bullish signal. In contrast, if the MACD line crosses below the signal, that may be interpreted as a bearish signal.
The MACD is one of the most popular technical indicators out there to measure market momentum. If you’d like to read more about it, check out MACD Indicator Explained by Kolin DeShazo
What is the Fibonacci Retracement tool?
The Fibonacci Retracement (or Fib Retracement) tool is a popular indicator based on a string of numbers called the Fibonacci sequence. These numbers were identified in the 13th century, by an Italian mathematician called Leonardo Fibonacci.
The Fibonacci numbers are now part of many technical analysis indicators, and the Fib Retracement is among the most popular ones. It uses ratios derived from the Fibonacci numbers as percentages. These percentages are then plotted over a chart, and traders can use them to identify potential support and resistance levels.
These Fibonacci ratios are:
While 50% is technically not a Fibonacci ratio, many traders also consider it when using the tool. In addition, Fibonacci ratios outside of the 0–100% range may also be used. Some of the most common ones are 161.8%, 261.8%, and 423.6%.
Fibonacci levels on a Bitcoin chart.
So, how can traders use the Fibonacci Retracement levels? The main idea behind plotting percentage ratios on a chart is to find areas of interest. Typically, traders will pick two significant price points on a chart, and pin the 0 and 100 values of the Fib Retracement tool to those points. The range outlined between these points may highlight potential entry and exit points, and help determine stop-loss placement.
The Fibonacci Retracement tool is a versatile indicator that can be used in a wide range of trading strategies. If you’d like to read more, check A Guide to Mastering Fibonacci Retracement.
What is the Stochastic RSI (StochRSI)?
The Stochastic RSI, or StochRSI, is a derivative of the RSI. Similarly to the RSI, it’s main goal is to determine whether an asset is overbought or oversold. In contrast to the RSI, however, the StochRSI isn’t generated from price data, but RSI values. On most charting tools, the values of the StochRSI will range between 0 and 1 (or 0 and 100).
The StochRSI tends to be the most useful when it’s near the upper or lower extremes of its range. However, due to its greater speed and higher sensitivity, it may produce a lot of false signals that can be challenging to interpret.
The traditional interpretation of the StochRSI is somewhat similar to that of the RSI. When it’s over 0.8, the asset may be considered overbought. When it’s below 0.2, the asset may be considered oversold. However, it’s worth mentioning that these shouldn’t be viewed as direct signals to enter or exit trades. While this information is certainly telling a story, there may be other sides to the story as well. This is why most technical analysis tools are best used in combination with other market analysis techniques.
What are Bollinger Bands (BB)?
Named after John Bollinger, the Bollinger Bands measure market volatility, and are often used to spot overbought and oversold conditions. This indicator is made up of three lines, or “bands” — an SMA (the middle band), and an upper and lower band. These bands are then placed on a chart, along with the price action. The idea is that as volatility increases or decreases, the distance between these bands will change, expanding and contracting..
Bollinger Bands on a Bitcoin chart.
Let’s go through the general interpretation of Bollinger Bands. The closer the price is to the upper band, the closer the asset may be to overbought conditions. Similarly, the closer it is to the lower band, the closer the asset may be to oversold conditions.
One thing to note is that the price will generally be contained within the range of the bands, but it may break above or below them at times. Does this mean that it’s an immediate signal to buy or sell? No. It just tells us that the market is moving away from the middle band SMA, reaching extreme conditions.
Traders may also use Bollinger Bands to try and predict a market squeeze, also known as the Bollinger Bands Squeeze. This refers to a period of low volatility when the bands come really close to each other and “squeeze” the price into a small range. As the “pressure” builds up in that small range, the market eventually pops out of it, leading to a period of increased volatility. Since the market can move up or down, the squeeze strategy is considered neutral (neither bearish or bullish). So it might be worth combining it with other trading tools, such as support and resistance.
What is the Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP)?
As we’ve discussed earlier, many traders consider the trading volume to be the most important indicator out there. So, are there any indicators based on volume?
The volume-weighted average price, or VWAP, combines the power of volume with price action. In more practical terms, it’s the average price of an asset for a given period weighted by volume. This makes it more useful than simply calculating the average price, as it also takes into account which price levels had the most trading volume.
How do traders use the VWAP? Well, the VWAP is typically used as a benchmark for the current outlook on the market. In this sense, when the market is above the VWAP line, it may be considered bullish. At the same time, if the market is below the VWAP line, it may be considered bearish. Have you noticed how this is similar to the interpretation of moving averages? The VWAP may indeed be compared to moving averages, at least in the way it’s used. As we’ve seen, the main difference is that the VWAP considers the trading volume as well.
In addition, the VWAP can also be used to identify areas of higher liquidity. Many traders will use the price breaking above or below the VWAP line as a trade signal. However, they will typically also incorporate other metrics into their strategy to reduce risks.
Would you like to learn more about how you can use the VWAP? Check out Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) Explained.
What is the Parabolic SAR?
The Parabolic SAR is used to determine the direction of the trend and potential reversals. “SAR” stands for Stop and Reverse. This refers to the point where a long position should be closed and a short position opened, or vice versa.
The Parabolic SAR appears as a series of dots on a chart, either above or below the price. Generally, if the dots are below the price, it means the price is in an uptrend. In contrast, if the dots are above the price, it means the price is in a downtrend. A reversal occurs when the dots flip to the “other side” of the price.
The Parabolic SAR on a Bitcoin chart.
The Parabolic SAR can provide insights into the direction of the market trend. It’s also handy for identifying points of trend reversal. Some traders may also use the Parabolic SAR indicator as a basis for their trailing stop-loss. This special order type moves along with the market and makes sure that investors can protect their profits during a strong uptrend.
The Parabolic SAR is at its best during strong market trends. During periods of consolidation, it may provide a lot of false signals for potential reversals. Would you like to learn how to use the Parabolic SAR indicator? Check out A Brief Guide to the Parabolic SAR Indicator.
What is the Ichimoku Cloud?
The Ichimoku Cloud is a TA indicator that combines many indicators in a single chart. Among the indicators we’ve discussed, the Ichimoku is certainly one of the most complicated. At first glance, it may be hard to understand its formulas and working mechanisms. But in practice, the Ichimoku Cloud is not as hard to use as it seems, and many traders use it because it can produce very distinct, well-defined trading signals.
As mentioned, the Ichimoku Cloud isn’t just an indicator, it’s a collection of indicators. It’s a collection that provides insights into market momentum, support and resistance levels, and the direction of the trend. It achieves this by calculating five averages and plotting them on a chart. It also produces a “cloud” from these averages which may forecast potential support and resistance areas.
While the averages play an important role, the cloud itself is a key part of the indicator. Generally, if the price is above the cloud, the market may be considered to be in an uptrend. Conversely, if the price is below the cloud, it may be considered to be in a downtrend.
The Ichimoku Cloud on a Bitcoin chart, acting as support, then resistance.
The Ichimoku Cloud may also strengthen other trading signals.
The Ichimoku Cloud is difficult to master, but once you get your head around how it works, it can produce great results. Check out Ichimoku Clouds Explained to learn more about it.
Chapter 6 — Cryptocurrency Trading Tips
- How do I start trading cryptocurrency?
- How to trade cryptocurrency on Binance
- What is a trading journal, and should I use one?
- How should I calculate my position size in trading?
- What online trading software should I use?
- Should I join a paid group for trading?
- What is a pump and dump (P&D)?
- Should I sign up for cryptocurrency airdrops?
- How do I start trading cryptocurrency?
If you’ve decided you’d like to start trading, here are a few things to consider.
Firstly, you’ll, of course, need capital to trade with. If you don’t have savings and start trading with money you can’t lose, it can have a seriously detrimental impact on your life. Trading isn’t an easy feat — an overwhelming majority of beginner traders lose money. You’ll need to expect that the money you put aside for trading can vanish quickly, and you may never recover your losses. This is why it’s recommended to start with smaller amounts to test out the waters.
Something else you’ll also need to think about is your overall trading strategy. There are a lot of possible avenues to take when it comes to making money in the financial markets. Depending on the time and effort you can put into this undertaking, you can choose between many different strategies to achieve your financial goals.
Lastly, here’s an additional point. Many traders are at their best when trading isn’t their main source of income. This way, the emotional burden is easier to bear than if their day-to-day survival depended on it. Eliminating emotion is a core trait of successful traders, and it’s significantly harder to do when one’s livelihood is at stake. So, especially when you’re starting out, you could think of trading and investing as a side venture. And remember to start with small amounts for the sake of learning and practicing. It may also be beneficial to look into ways of making passive income with cryptocurrency.
If you’d like to learn about simple mistakes to avoid when it comes to trading and technical analysis, check out 7 Common Mistakes in Technical Analysis (TA).
How to trade cryptocurrency
So, you’ve decided you want to get into the world of trading cryptocurrency. What do you need to do?
First, you need to convert your fiat currency into cryptocurrency. The easiest way to do that is by going to the Buy Crypto page on Binance, where you’ll have a plethora of options. You can buy crypto with debit and credit cards, using your bank account on the P2P exchange, and through third-party solutions like Simplex, Paxful, or Koinax. Once you’re done, you’ll be part of the new financial system!
Now that you’ve got your cryptocurrency, the potential options are abundant. Right away, you can go to the Binance spot exchange and trade coins. If you have previous experience with trading, you could also check out the Binance margin trading platform or Binance Futures. There are also passive income opportunities available, which include staking, lending your assets in Binance Savings, joining the Binance mining pool, and more.
So far, these all included what is called a centralized exchange — like Binance. These are exchanges where you deposit your crypto and do your financial activities within the exchange’s internal systems. However, thanks to the magic of blockchain technology, there are other options out there called decentralized exchanges (DEX). On these venues, your funds never leave your own cryptocurrency wallet, so you’ll have full custody of them at all times. You can also connect your hardware wallet and trade directly from it.
Centralized exchanges are dominant in the cryptocurrency space. But many traders and blockchain enthusiasts believe that a significant portion of cryptocurrency trading volume will happen on DEXs in the future. Go to Binance DEX and try out the trading experience yourself!
What is a trading journal, and should I use one?
A trading journal is a documentation of your trading activities. Should you keep one? Probably! You could use a simple Excel spreadsheet, or subscribe to a dedicated service.
Especially when it comes to more active trading, some traders consider keeping a trading journal essential to becoming consistently profitable. After all, if you don’t document your trading activities, how will you identify your strengths and weaknesses? Without a trading journal, you wouldn’t have a clear idea of your performance.
Bear in mind that biases can play a major part in your trading decisions, and a trading journal can help mitigate some of them. How? Well, you can’t argue with the data! Trading performance all comes down to numbers, and if you’re not doing something well, that will be reflected in your performance. By meticulously keeping a trading journal, you can also monitor what strategies perform best.
How should I calculate my position size in trading?
One of the most important aspects of trading is risk management. In fact, some traders argue it is the most important thing. This is why it’s critical to calculate the size of your positions with a standardized formula. Here’s how the calculation goes.
First, you need to determine how much of your account you are willing to risk on individual trades. Let’s say this is 1%. Does it mean you enter positions with 1% of your account? No, it means that if your stop-loss is hit, you won’t lose more than 1% of your account.
That may seem too little, but this is to make sure that a few inevitable bad trades won’t blow up your account. So, once you’ve got this defined, you need to determine where your stop-loss is. You do this for each individual trade, based on the specifics of the trade idea. Let’s say you’ve determined that you’re going to place your stop-loss 5% from your initial entry. This means that when your stop-loss is hit, and you exit 5% from your entry, you should lose exactly 1% of your account.
So, let’s say our account size is 1000 USDT. We’re risking 1% with each trade. Our stop-loss is 5% from our entry. What position size should we use?
If we want to only lose 10 USDT, which is 1% of our account, we should enter a 200 USDT position.
This process can seem a bit lengthy at first, but it’s essential for managing risk properly. Good news, we’ve got an entire article about it: How to Calculate Position Size in Trading.
What online trading software should I use?
Chart analysis is a core part of any technical analyst’s trading toolkit. But where is the best way to do it?
Binance has integrated TradingView charts, so you can do your analysis directly on the platform — both on the web interface and in the mobile app. You can also create a TradingView account and check all Binance markets through their platform.
There are numerous other online charting software providers in the market, each providing different benefits. Typically, though, you’ll have to pay a monthly subscription fee. Some other ones focused on crypto trading are Coinigy, TradingLite, Exocharts, and Tensorcharts.
Should I join a paid group for trading?
Most likely not. Great free information about trading is abundant out there, so why not learn from that? It’s also useful to practice trading on your own, so you can learn from your mistakes and find what works best for you and your trading style.Entering a paid group can be a valid learning tool, but beware of scams and fake advertising. After all, it’s quite easy to fake trading results to gain followers for a paid service.With that said, some successful traders run high quality paid communities with additional services such as special market data. Just be extra careful who you give your money to, as the majority of paid groups for trading exist to take advantage of beginner traders.
What is a pump and dump (P&D)?
A pump and dump is a scheme that involves boosting the price of an asset through false information. When the price has gone up a significant amount (“pumped”), the perpetrators sell (“dump”) their cheaply bought bags at a much higher price.
Typical price pattern of a pump and dump scheme.
Pump and dump schemes are rampant in the cryptocurrency markets, especially in bull markets. During these times, many inexperienced investors enter the market, and they are easier to take advantage of. This type of fraud is most common with small market cap cryptocurrencies, as their prices are generally easier to inflate due to the low liquidity of these markets.
Pump and dump schemes are often orchestrated by private “pump and dump groups” that promise easy returns for joiners (usually in exchange for a fee). However, what usually happens is that those joiners are taken advantage of by an even smaller group who have already built their positions.
In the legacy markets, people found guilty of facilitating pump and dump schemes are subject to hefty fines.
Should I sign up for cryptocurrency airdrops?
Maybe, but be extra careful! Airdrops are a novel way of distributing cryptocurrencies to a wide audience. An airdrop can be a great way to make sure that a cryptocurrency isn’t centralized in the hands of only a few holders. A diverse set of holders is paramount for a healthy, decentralized network.
However, there’s no such thing as a free lunch. Well, sometimes, there may be, if you get very lucky! Typically, though, what happens is that the promoters of the airdrop will outright try to take advantage of you, or will want something in return.
What will they ask for? One of the most common “assets” asked in return for an airdrop is your personal information. Is your personal data worth $10–50 worth of a highly speculative cryptocurrency? That’s your choice to make, but there may be better ways to earn a bit of side income, without putting your privacy and personal data at risk. This is why you need to be extra careful when thinking about signing up for cryptocurrency airdrops.
So, we went through a lot, haven’t we? Getting started with cryptocurrency trading can be a daunting task — there are so many concepts to learn. Hopefully, this guide has helped you feel a bit more comfortable with cryptocurrency trading.
However, there is always more to learn!
This is why we’ve created a Q&A platform specific to cryptocurrency.
Credit to Ask Academy for content provision.
If you have any further questions about cryptocurrency trading, blockchain technology, cryptography, or other related topics, feel free to post one and the community will answer it for you! See you there.
Link to page and group : HERE